Одно шахматное наблюдение
Nov. 22nd, 2020 04:22 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
garret_labЯ иногда играю трёхминутки (довольно слабо, нужно сказать) на chess.com, и со временем выделил одно специфическое подмножество соперников -- по критерию "они никогда не сдаются". Замечу, что в шахматных партиях, которые длятся максимум 6 минут, и где роль случайностей (вроде "кончилось время", "кот вскочил на клавиатуру", "упал интернет", "опять проблема на сёрвере", "срочно нужно ответить на звонок", или "нажал не на ту кнопку") может быть значительна, такая стратегия имеет смысл, поскольку её цена очень близка к нулю.
В ситуации же, когда лозунг "я никогда не признаю поражение на выборах" с большой вероятностью ведёт к появлению не самых лестных характеристик в учебниках истории для средней школы, остракизма по отношению ко всем не отмежевавшимся родственникам и другим участникам операции "умираем, но не сдаёмся!", и возможных уголовных обвинений в попытке государственного переворота, я не совсем понимаю, стоит ли игра свеч вообще. Понятно, что предположение "они на самом деле пытаются спасти нашу хрупкую электоральную систему от фальсификаторов-демократов" я отвергаю как абсолютно невероятное. Что-то тут не так...
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Date: 2020-11-23 04:51 pm (UTC)no subject
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Date: 2020-11-23 08:55 pm (UTC)Но Ваш тезис, насколько я его запомнил, был не "Бёрни проиграет Трампу с большей вероятностью [чем Байден, но не уверен]"; он был примерно такой: "если демократы выдвинут Бёрни, я уж лучше за Трампа проголосую".
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Date: 2020-11-23 09:09 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2020-11-23 09:29 pm (UTC)Вот набор выжимок на эту тему из сегодняшней емэйл-рассылки невер-трамповского издания The Bulwark (JVL - весьма и весьма консервативный автор, замечу):
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Why Won't Republicans Take the Next Step? If what Donald Trump is doing now is dangerous and irresponsible then . . .
Jonathan V. Last Nov 23
Stephen Schwarzman says Trump lost.
Chris Christie says that Trump’s “legal team”—nota bene—“is a national embarrassment.”
The editors of National Review call Trump’s behavior “disgraceful” and “the most outlandish and irresponsible performance ever by a group of lawyers representing a president of the United States.”
I think it’s actually worth quoting that National Review editorial at a little more length:
Getting nowhere in court, the White House appears to be shifting to a political strategy based on blocking the certification of results and getting state legislatures to appoint Trump electors in states Trump lost. This is a profoundly undemocratic gambit that, if it were to enjoy any success, would precipitate a major constitutional crisis. . . .
The most obvious way to prevent this travesty is for Republican state legislators to continue to reject it, the way almost all have done to this point. But they haven’t yet experienced a potential full-court press from Trump and his supporters (the Republican leaders of the Michigan state senate and house have been summoned to a White House meeting today). It’s also important for Republican senators to speak out against this effort and make it clear that they won’t stand for it when it comes time for Congress to consider electors. Finally, it’d be best of all if the president reconsidered going down this route.
He’s turning a narrow election defeat into a bid for infamy.
Yay? I guess?
But it would be nice to have these people—at least some of them, or even one of them—take the next logical step.
Because if President Trump is committing a national embarrassment, making a bid for infamy, precipitating a constitutional crisis, then why did these people spend the last year stumping for Donald Trump and making the case for his reelection?
Aren’t Trump’s latest actions—which he promised he would take well before the election—proof of his unfitness for office?
Doesn’t Trump’s don’t-call-it-a-coup attempt that these people are now upset about prove that they were wrong to support him?
That’s all I’m looking for. Just one Trump defender—literally just one—to stand up and say, “Yeah, I was wrong. This guy is dangerous in ways I didn’t fully understand. I’m glad Joe Biden won. America dodged a bullet by not reelecting this man.”
The reason I want someone, somewhere to follow this logic chain isn’t spite or self-satisfaction.
It’s that Republican/conservative politics has become utterly dominated by the precepts of kabuki theater, where one side is dastardly and the other side is pure and good and everyone plays pretend, no matter what the reality is.
[...]
And, if we’re going to do #RealTalk, a whole lot of Republicans/conservatives knew that Trump was dangerous all along. But they wouldn’t say it out loud. Because it would violate the rules of kabuki.
Even now, when a thimbleful of these people are finally saying “Trump is doing something dangerous” they can’t bring themselves to say, “And it’s a good thing for America that Joe Biden is the president-elect.”
This is true for bad guys,like Peggy Noonan, who now says that what Donald Trump is doing is “deeply destructive,” but just a few weeks ago was equivocating and bragging about how she wrote in Edmund Burke for president.
And it’s true for good guys, like Larry Hogan. Over the weekend Gov. Hogan took some more shots at Donald Trump, saying that the president hadn’t done his job in protecting Americans from the pandemic and needed to “stop golfing and concede.”
Who did Larry Hogan vote for? He wrote in Ronald Reagan.
Again: I’m not demanding that all of these people sit in a corner with dunce caps on for the next four years. But the fact that literally not one of them, anywhere, has come out to say that they were mistaken, that Donald Trump is and was a danger, and that Biden’s win was important for liberal democracy is telling.
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Позиции "я могла бы вообще не проголосовать" и "вписал Св. Ронни" - достаточно близкие, на мой взгляд. И JVL считает одну из них весьма безответственной (в чём я его поддерживаю).